After a number of important Guilds and precursors have chimed in, do we know more about the Oscar race? Well, yes and no. Notable Academy Award precursors like the ACE Eddie prize, the Producers Guild Award, and the Screen Actors Guild Awards have come and gone. Some contenders, like Quentin Tarantino’s Once Upon a Time…in Hollywood, have been dinged, while others, as you’ll see below, have surged. All of that just builds towards trying to figure out what Academy members will do once voting opens up. Right now, it’s a holding pattern, at least until this weekend’s next wave of awards, including the Directors Guild, has its say. For the moment, we wait, we overthink, and we try to chat up voters. Today reflects the results of those three elements, with another update certainly on the horizon before the month comes to a close. Below, you can see how I think things will go, taking into account all of the big precursors so far. There’s a bunch more this weekend that could color the race, but right now, it looks for all the world like a photo finish in Best Picture and Best Director between 1917 from Sam Mendes and Parasite from Bong Joon-Ho. The four acting races seem sewn up, as does Best Cinematography, Best Original Song, and Best International Feature. The rest? Well, that’s what the next few weeks are for. The entire season has been unpredictable, so why stop now? Some of the narratives I’m following are as follows: How does Parasite do? Can it make history? Will Martin Scorsese’s The Irishman wind up shut out? And so on. For the moment, check out my Oscar picks and stay tuned for an update next week after we know the DGA results, among a handful of other precursors… Here now are my latest predictions: BEST PICTURE 1. 1917 2. Parasite 3. Once Upon a Time…in Hollywood 4. Jojo Rabbit 5. The Irishman 6. Joker 7. Marriage Story 8. Little Women 9. Ford v Ferrari BEST DIRECTOR 1. Bong Joon-Ho – Parasite 2. Sam Mendes – 1917 3. Quentin Tarantino – Once Upon a Time…in Hollywood 4. Martin Scorsese – The Irishman 5. Todd Phillips – Joker BEST ACTOR 1. Joaquin Phoenix – Joker 2. Adam Driver – Marriage Story 3. Leonardo DiCaprio – Once Upon a Time…in Hollywood 4. Antonio Banderas – Pain and Glory 5. Jonathan Pryce – The Two Popes BEST ACTRESS 1. Renée Zellweger – Judy 2. Scarlett Johansson – Marriage Story 3. Charlize Theron – Bombshell 4. Saoirse Ronan – Little Women 5. Cynthia [...]